基于EEMD-SARIMA的对流层延迟预测模型研究     

任超  刘中流  梁月吉  甘祥前 《大地测量与地球动力学》2018,38(9):953-957

在无气象数据的条件下，提出一种基于集合经验模态分解（EEMD）和季节性自回归移动平均模型（SARIMA）的对流层延迟（ZTD）预报新方法，并分别选取长春、上海、乌鲁木齐3个地区4个季节的ZTD数据进行预测分析。结果表明，基于EEMD-SARIMA的ZTD改正预报模型能够满足不同地区、不同季节下的ZTD估计需求，是一种高精度的ZTD预报方法。  相似文献   

GPS约束下陇西地区断裂带现今滑动速率的非连续接触模拟研究     

孟庆筱  景鹏旭  何申海  党学会 《大地测量与地球动力学》2018,38(12):1227-1231

以中国地壳运动观测网络1999、2001、2004和2007年4期GPS观测数据为边界条件，使用非连续接触有限元技术构建陇西块体二维有限元模型，在摩擦系数不确定性分析基础上，计算区内主要断裂带滑动速率。结果表明，现今地壳形变运动状态下陇西块体的北东向运动在海原断裂附近受到鄂尔多斯块体、阿拉善块体阻碍，陇西块体周缘的海原断裂带、老虎山断裂、西秦岭北缘断裂呈现左旋走滑特征，滑动速率为3.5 mm/a、2.2 mm/a和1.9 mm/a，说明在青藏高原推挤作用下以上关键部位正在进行快速的构造应变积累。  相似文献   

鲁西大汶口地区全新世临沂组沉积物粒度分布特征及地质意义          下载免费PDF全文

高明波 《山东国土资源》2018,34(7)

出露于大汶口盆地的临沂组为一套第四系松散堆积物,上部以土黄色、灰黄色含砂质粉砂、粉砂质粘土为主,下部为砂砾石层,是大汶口盆地内河流演化过程中的沉积响应和物质记录。通过对临沂组进行研究,可以反演大汶口盆地第四纪以来的沉积区水动力环境、物质运移方式和沉积环境。该文在区域地质调查工作的基础上,结合粒度分析频率曲线、概率累积曲线、粒度参数和沉积物宏观特征,对临沂组的沉积相、沉积环境和沉积韵律进行了研究。研究表明,大汶口地区临沂组下部为河床亚相边滩沉积微相,上部为河漫亚相河漫滩沉积微相,经历了由简单高能→复杂中能-中低能→简单中低能→复杂中低能的水动力沉积环境变化。另外依据岩石组合特征,将其划分为4个明显的沉积韵律和1个不明显的沉积韵律组。  相似文献   

Galileo广播星历评估及其对定位精度的影响     

韩德强  党亚民  庞辉  薛树强  杨强  张龙平 《大地测量与地球动力学》2018,38(11):1165-1169

分析现阶段伽利略空间信号的精度，并评估伽利略广播星历及其对单点定位的影响。统计30 d健康卫星广播星历，结果表明，FOC和IOV两种类型的广播星历卫星轨道误差优于0.8 m，并且径向误差最小，法向误差次之，切向误差最大；伽利略卫星的钟差误差精度达到1.0 ns；从空间信号测距误差对伽利略卫星进行整体分析，广播星历精度优于1.0 m，FOC与IOV卫星精度相当；用广播星历进行事后单点定位的精度可以达到dm级。  相似文献   

气举反循环钻进井壁稳定及适用性探讨          下载免费PDF全文

郑伯乐  郑秀华  段晨阳  叶宏宇 《探矿工程》2020,47(6):13-18

气举反循环工艺具有钻进效率高、携带岩屑能力强、防漏效果好以及钻头寿命长等优点，同时还可以提高流体矿产的产能。但是一般认为气举反循环钻进抽吸作用会产生负压，不利于井壁稳定，不宜在松散地层应用。本文通过计算气举反循环钻进环空水力参数，并从环空压力以及冲洗液流态、流速等方面探讨研究气举反循环钻进中井壁稳定及其适用性，指出通过选取合适的钻具组合以及调节冲洗液性能，可使气举反循环工艺对不同地层的适应性更广。  相似文献   

白垩系膏岩层序对铅锌矿床形成的贡献——以云南兰坪金顶超大型铅锌矿床云龙组为例     

曾招阳  薛传东  刘靖坤 《地球学报》2020,41(5):723-738

通过野外地质观察, 结合勘探资料和前人研究, 本次用K-Ar法对兰坪盆地金顶超大型铅锌矿床云龙组中的伊利石开展测年研究, 并分析典型勘探线剖面的主要围岩、矿体及矿石结构构造特点, 论述了矿区膏岩层序可能的时代及其在成矿过程中的作用和方式, 形成如下初步认识: 金顶铅锌矿区云龙组中黏土矿物伊利石的K-Ar法年龄为(105.7±1.4) Ma, 与前人测得地层中黄铁矿Re-Os等时线年龄(114±13) Ma相近, 表明该套膏岩层序的地层时代为白垩纪阿尔布期(Albian); 膏盐岩呈似层状、透镜状、角砾状赋存于云龙组中上部, 经后期成矿作用改造而形成呈似层状、角砾状、不规则状产出的铅锌矿体, 并常与膏盐岩共存; 铅锌矿体的就位空间既包括原膏岩层序的空间位置, 也包括高孔隙度的景星组砂岩; 巨量的云龙组膏盐岩在成矿过程中通过硫酸盐还原提供丰富的硫, 使铅锌矿床达到超大型规模。因此, 巨量膏岩层的消耗是金顶矿床巨量金属得以富集成矿的关键因素之一, 这对特提斯造山带含膏岩层序内寻找类似矿床具有普遍意义。同时, 该类膏岩层序的对比研究, 对于“金顶式”的MVT型铅锌矿床的区域找矿潜力评判也具有重要的指示价值。  相似文献   

Paleogene evolution and demise of the proto‐Paratethys Sea in Central Asia (Tarim and Tajik basins): Role of intensified tectonic activity at ca. 41 Ma     

Mustafa Y. Kaya  Guillaume Dupont‐Nivet  Jean‐Noël Proust  Pierrick Roperch  Laurie Bougeois  Niels Meijer  Joost Frieling  Chiara Fioroni  Sevin zkan Alt&#x;ner  Ezgi Vardar  Natasha Barbolini  Marius Stoica  Jovid Aminov  Mehmut Mamtimin  Guo Zhaojie 《Basin Research》2019,31(3):461-486

The proto‐Paratethys Sea covered a vast area extending from the Mediterranean Tethys to the Tarim Basin in western China during Cretaceous and early Paleogene. Climate modelling and proxy studies suggest that Asian aridification has been governed by westerly moisture modulated by fluctuations of the proto‐Paratethys Sea. Transgressive and regressive episodes of the proto‐Paratethys Sea have been previously recognized but their timing, extent and depositional environments remain poorly constrained. This hampers understanding of their driving mechanisms (tectonic and/or eustatic) and their contribution to Asian aridification. Here, we present a new chronostratigraphic framework based on biostratigraphy and magnetostratigraphy as well as a detailed palaeoenvironmental analysis for the Paleogene proto‐Paratethys Sea incursions in the Tajik and Tarim basins. This enables us to identify the major drivers of marine fluctuations and their potential consequences on Asian aridification. A major regional restriction event, marked by the exceptionally thick (≤ 400 m) shelf evaporites is assigned a Danian‐Selandian age (ca. 63–59 Ma) in the Aertashi Formation. This is followed by the largest recorded proto‐Paratethys Sea incursion with a transgression estimated as early Thanetian (ca. 59–57 Ma) and a regression within the Ypresian (ca. 53–52 Ma), both within the Qimugen Formation. The transgression of the next incursion in the Kalatar and Wulagen formations is now constrained as early Lutetian (ca. 47–46 Ma), whereas its regression in the Bashibulake Formation is constrained as late Lutetian (ca. 41 Ma) and is associated with a drastic increase in both tectonic subsidence and basin infilling. The age of the final and least pronounced sea incursion restricted to the westernmost margin of the Tarim Basin is assigned as Bartonian–Priabonian (ca. 39.7–36.7 Ma). We interpret the long‐term westward retreat of the proto‐Paratethys Sea starting at ca. 41 Ma to be associated with far‐field tectonic effects of the Indo‐Asia collision and Pamir/Tibetan plateau uplift. Short‐term eustatic sea level transgressions are superimposed on this long‐term regression and seem coeval with the transgression events in the other northern Peri‐Tethyan sedimentary provinces for the 1st and 2nd sea incursions. However, the 3rd sea incursion is interpreted as related to tectonism. The transgressive and regressive intervals of the proto‐Paratethys Sea correlate well with the reported humid and arid phases, respectively in the Qaidam and Xining basins, thus demonstrating the role of the proto‐Paratethys Sea as an important moisture source for the Asian interior and its regression as a contributor to Asian aridification.  相似文献   

Development of detachable replaceable links for eccentrically braced frames     

Mehmet Bakır Bozkurt  Sina Kazemzadeh Azad  Cem Topkaya 《地震工程与结构动力学》2019,48(10):1134-1155

Eccentrically braced frames (EBFs) can be repaired after a major earthquake by replacing the links. The link replacement is not a straightforward process and is influenced by the type of the link and the amount of residual frame deformations. The past decade has witnessed the development of different types of replaceable links such as end-plated links, web connected links, bolted flange and web spliced links, and collector beam and brace spliced links. All of the developed replaceable link details, except the web connected links, are not suitable for link replacement under residual frame drift. In this paper, a detachable replaceable link detail which is based on splicing the link at its mid-length is proposed. The detail is well suited for installation under residual frame drifts. In addition, the weight and size of the members to be transported and erected are reduced significantly, thereby facilitating the replacement procedure. Performance of this proposed replaceable link is studied by conducting six nearly full scale EBF tests under quasi-static cyclic loading. The link length ratio, type of end-plated mid-splice connection, and the amount of residual drift are considered as test variables. The test results revealed that the inelastic rotation capacity of the detachable replaceable links exceeds the requirements of the AISC Seismic Provisions for Structural Steel Buildings. No failures are observed in the end-plated mid-splice connections demonstrating the potential of the proposed details. The detachable replaceable links are investigated by numerical analysis as well to further validate their applicability and to develop design recommendations.  相似文献   

MEEMD-Elman神经网络的电离层TEC预报模型     

汤俊  高鑫 《大地测量与地球动力学》2020,40(4):395-399

利用IGS中心提供的不同纬度的电离层TEC值,建立基于改进的集总平均经验模态分解(MEEMD)算法和Elman回归神经网络(ERNN)模型相结合的电离层TEC预报模型。实验结果表明,在低、中、高不同纬度采用本文方法预报5 d电离层TEC的预测值的均方根误差最优可达到0.96 TECu,相对精度最优达到95.4%,精度较EMD-ERNN模型及单一ERNN模型有显著提高。  相似文献   

国内外割心钻具研发概况与分析          下载免费PDF全文

李鑫淼  梁健  尹浩  王志刚  梁楠 《探矿工程》2020,47(7):47-55

在松散、松软、破碎等复杂地层钻进时，与常规取心技术相比，割心技术能够获得更高的岩心采取率。国内外研发的割心钻具主要包括双动双管、单动双管和绳索取心割心钻具3种，钻具研发的关键点主要包括岩心爪结构设计和加压方式选择。从钻具研发情况看，三角形岩心爪具有良好的闭合性能，液力加压能够实现对割心压力的准确控制，绳索取心割心钻具钻进效率较高，但研发难度相对较大。本文详述了国内外割心钻具的结构设计特点及取心操作流程，分析了钻具设计原理的优缺点，提出了割心钻具发展趋势，为割心钻具的优化设计奠定了基础。  相似文献